რატომ არ კითხულობ ლინკს რომელსაც ვაგდებ? ეგეთი კითხვა არ გაგიჩნდებოდა რომ წაგეკითხა, იქ ნათლად წერია რომ სახ. დეპარტამენტის წარმომდაგენელი საკუთარი პირით ამბობს , საიტზე 22 000 მიუვიდაო მოგების შეტყობინება -
"QUESTION: Okay. Great. And then how many people have been erroneously informed that they can apply for such a visa?
SENIOR STATE DEPARTMENT OFFICIAL: Right. We had about - in those five days when the site was open, we had about 1.9 million entrants access the site - or we don't know if they were entrants - but 1.9 million entry - accesses to the site.
QUESTION: Yes.
SENIOR STATE DEPARTMENT OFFICIAL: Of those, 22,000 - it indicated to them there was 22,000 of the entrants at their site which said that they were selected to go on to the next step, received the erroneous information that they were, in fact, selected."
გეზარებათ კითხვა რა. ეგ ერთი. ჩვენი გვერდი აი ეს არის
www.facebook.com/dv2012
"Alexander Rabinowitz , PhD of Mathematics, a specialist in Monte-Carlo simulation and in
computer programming also gave an explanation that confirmed this theory, stating:
"It was quite obvious the DV-2012 program was going to use a different random selection
algorithm than previous DV programs. It is because the DOS was prepared to use a different way
of selecting entries than before. Instead of selecting entries independently from the pool as before,
this time the DOS decided to select at random an interval of dates. Those dates were the dates
when applicants submitted their entries during the submission period. The entire submission
period was divided into approximately six intervals and the random algorithm chose one of these
intervals. Those entries from that time interval were selected as winners. This data is provided by
the forum
http://www.govorimpro.us/showthread.php?t=28753&page=5: 102 (won) + 75
(not won) entries were submitted on October 5-6. Out of 1,000 entries submitted overall, 102 +
75 is approximately 1/6th of 1000. That is perfectly random from all points of view. The periods
themselves are selected randomly. If you repeat this process many times again and again, you will
see that each entry is selected approximately the same amount of times. This is a statistical test
for randomness.
That is what the DOS promised and what was done, from my point of view. I have a PhD in
Mathematics. I am also a specialist in Monte-Carlo simulation and in computer programming. I
could easily write an algorithm like the DOS used, make sure it provides random results, and run
statistical tests for randomness to ensure the requirements are fully satisfied."
ესეც ახსნა (ახლა არ დაიწყო კითხვები სანამ წაიკითხავ, დავიღალე იგივეს ახსნით).
მესამეც - ალბად ინტერვიუ რათქმაუნდა არ წაგიკითხავს მაგრამ იქ როდესაც სახ. დეპარტამენტის მუშაკს ეკითხებიან, თუკი კომპიუტერი არჩევსო, 15 ივლისამდე რაღატომ ალოდინებთ ხალხსო - ეგ კაცი პასუხობს, რომ :
"QUESTION: Okay. And then the final question from me is: Why - given that this is all computerized, why do people - why is it going to take until July 15th to announce the results of the new lottery?
SENIOR STATE DEPARTMENT OFFICIAL: The main reason is that as part of the application process, you may only submit one application. So we - during the last six months since the first selection process, we have gone through all of the selectees to ensure that they had applied appropriately and that they had only applied once. We will now do that with the new selection group, but we are going to redouble our efforts to make sure we can do it in a shortened time, because our goal is to not have it affect the visa processing year which begins on October 1st, 2011. So we hope that we can - this will not have any impact on the processing of these visas, that we will process these as normal when we are permitted to start processing, which is not before October 1st, 2011."
შესაბამისად ჩნდება კითხვა - პირველი ლოტერეის ჩატარებისას, ექვსი თვის განმავლობაში ცალ ცალობით გადიოდნენ თითო აპლიკაციას - და რა ამ 6 თვის განმავლობაში არავის არ გაუჩნდა კითხვა მხოლოდ 5 -6 ოქტომბრის აპლიკაციებმა რატომ მოიგოო? 6 თვე დავიჯერო ვერ დაიჭირეს ეგ "შეცდომა" სანამ გამოაქვეყნეს?