UnexpectedFor Europe, in recent years, case numbers around 40,000 have often been too high to get an interview.
For example:
DV-2023: Final cutoff for EU was ~36,300
DV-2024: Expected final EU cutoff around 35,000–38,000
DV-2025: Still unknown, but trends suggest 40,000 is near or past the danger zone unless there’s unusually high no-show or refusal rates.
Yes, 40,000 for EU region is considered high risk:
He might never become current in the visa bulletin.
If he does become current, it will be very late in the fiscal year (August–September) — and interview availability could be limited.
* * *
Monitor visa bulletins monthly:
https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/...a-bulletin.htmlSubmit DS-260 as soon as possible, if not already done.
Prepare documents early, in case his number becomes current.
Don’t make big plans (like quitting a job or selling property) until he receives the 2NL interview letter.
GREEN CARD . volume 29
