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1. Trade slowdown: Foreign trade is the most direct link between the U.S. and China. Over the next two years, U.S.-China trade is projected to surpass U.S.-Canada trade as the largest in the world, according to State Street Global Advisors.
But if China slows drastically, it will lose its appetite for foreign products, including those made in America.
The good news is the American economy isn't really powered by foreign trade. Exports make up just 13% of GDP, while consumer spending accounts for more than two-thirds. That means as long as consumers aren't too spooked to spend, the U.S. economy should be able to weather the storm.
"We are more insulated than other countries. If China catches a flu, we could get a case of the sniffles," said Kristina Hooper, U.S. investment strategist at Allianz Global Advisors.
2. American business hit: Pockets of the U.S. stock market are exposed to China's troubles. That's because 40% of the revenue generated by S&P 500 companies comes from overseas.
A faster deceleration of growth in China would disproportionately hurt multinational companies. Just last week, United Technologies (UTX) dimmed its 2015 outlook and pinned the blame on China. The manufacturer said new equipment orders at its Otis elevator business experienced a 10% tumble last quarter in China alone.
"The slowdown in China is worse than we had expected," Akhil Johri, chief financial officer at United Technologies, told analysts during a conference call.
American stocks fell sharply last week. The Dow took its biggest weekly hit since January, falling nearly 3%, partly on concerns about a slowing Asia.
Related: 6 biggest threats to the U.S. stock market
Yet overall, corporate executives aren't freaking out about China this earnings season. It's a source of concern, but few CEOs are really sounding the alarm. Some companies -- like Apple (AAPL, Tech30) and Nike (NKE) -- say they are doing great in China.
Investors should listen closely as companies with significant exposure to China detail their latest quarterly numbers. This week's earnings list includes American Express (AXP), Corning (GLW), DuPont (DD), Ford (F), Goodyear (GT), MasterCard (MA), Mondelez Internationa (MDLZ)l, Procter & Gamble (PG) and UPS (UPS).
Another key will be to see if the Federal Reserve is worried enough about China to delay an interest rate hike. That seems unlikely at this point, but the central bank will give new clues when it wraps up a two-day meeting on Wednesday.
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http://money.cnn.com/2015/07/26/investing/...pact-us-stocks/კი
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This post has been edited by gabro777 on 27 Jul 2015, 17:12