t-90Georgia
Georgia definitely should welcome the historical deal with Iran as it implies a weakened Russian position in the region. Moreover, having opened itself up years ago to Iranian tourists and capital, Georgia can now benefit even more as Iran itself opens up to the rest of the world.
The “main historical adversary” as a new hope
There were times when Iran dominated Georgia’s political and cultural life. However it all ended disastrously when in the late 19th century the Persians burned down the Georgian capital. Later on, Soviet propaganda did its best to portray Iran as Georgia’s main historical adversary (and consequently Russia as its saviour). The propaganda worked so well that even in the late 1980s many Georgians were afraid that a break-up of the Soviet Union would lead to another Iranian invasion.
After regaining its independence, Georgia enjoyed friendly relations with Iran insofar as this was possible (given Iran’s isolation). The then President Shevardnadze - a former foreign minister of the Soviet Union - understood only too well that Georgia could not afford to neglect Iran. Saakashvili - who was initially almost totally focused on the West – came to realise this too. However, after the 2008 war with Russia, Georgia no longer had the luxury of ignoring anyone, especially a country of Iran’s importance and resources. Tbilisi introduced a visa-free regime for Iranians (later rescinded by the current Georgian authorities, but then partly restored) and embraced Iranian investment which had almost nowhere else to go.
Despite this breakthrough, US-Iranian hostility still poisoned bilateral relations. Besides, with a resurgent Russia, with an anti-American Iran, with Turkey adopting a less pro-American stance and finally with the US noticeably disengaging itself from the South Caucasus, Georgia could not really feel safe. Therefore this historical deal should strengthen Georgia’s position as Tbilisi has lived in fear of another Russian invasion since 2008. There are other benefits too: Iranian oil and gas exports should further weaken Russia’s position (as oil prices are set to decline further and as Iran emerges as an alternative gas supplier). Moreover, Georgia in general welcomes any development that will bring peace and stability to the region and therefore promote further economic development.
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Engaging Iran: Implications for the South Caucasus
As the US Congress prepares to formally consider the Iran nuclear deal, the possible implications of a new opening with Iran have raised expectations around the globe. The European Union, which celebrates this deal as a rare success in foreign policy, is positioning itself to exploit new commercial opportunities in the long-closed Iranian market. Not to be outdone, US firms are equally eager to secure their own deals in Iran.
Winners & Losers
Yet aside from the generally celebratory mood in the West, there are also losers from the nuclear breakthrough. An obvious loser, Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, staked much of his political standing and even his country’s strategic relationship with the US, on his fierce opposition to the deal. But even more significantly, Russian President Vladimir Putin suffered a double blow. Moscow had little choice but to remain engaged in the negotiations with Tehran, which resulted in a breakthrough arrangement that did much to lessen Russia’s role as a tactical alternative to the West for Iran.
But the immediate impact of the Iran deal, and its subsequent reintegration in the global economy, is much more significant for the three countries of the South Caucasus. Just like the broader international community which consists of winners and losers, the South Caucasus is no exception. The clear local winner is landlocked Armenia, which has a long record of stable, friendly and cooperative relations with Iran, and as an immediate neighbour, expects direct benefits from an opening up of Iran. Also benefiting, though to a lesser degree, is Georgia which envisions an opportunity to deepen its own relations with Iran. But for energy-rich Azerbaijan, this is not a welcome development, as it may exacerbate lingering tensions over territorial disputes, enhance energy rivalry and perhaps encourage a more active regional role by Iran over the unresolved Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.
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t-90https://www.chathamhouse.org/sites/files/ch...aneGeorgian.pdfჩამოტვირთე და წაიკითხე, საინტერესო ანალიზია და უკვე ნათარგმნიც
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მაჰირ მამედოვი: "სოკარი" საქართველოში "გაზპრომთან" კონკურენციისთვის მზად არის
"სოკარი მზად არის რუსულ გაზპრომთან კონკურენციაში შევიდეს" - აღნიშნულის შესახებ, სოკარ ჯორჯიას წარმომადგენელი, მაჰირ მამედოვი აზერბაიჯანული მედიისთვის მიცემულ ინტერვიუში აცხადებს. მისი განცხადებით, საქართველოში რუსული გაზის შესაძლო შემოსვლის შემთხვევაში, კომპანია მზად არის კონკურენცია გაუწიოს გაზპრომს.
"ეს არის თავისუფალი ბაზარი, სადაც ახალი კომპანიის შემოსვლა ზრდის კონკურენციას და შესაბამისად მომსახურების ხარისხსს. ჩვენ მზად ვართ ამ კონკურენციისთვის", - აცხადებს მამედოვი. მისივე თქმით, საქართველოში რუსული გაზის შემოსვლა ქვეყანაში სოკარის მუშაობაზე გავლენას არ იქონიებს. მამედოვის განცხადებით, საქართველოში სოციალური მოხმარების ტარიფები სოკარს უკვე შეთანხმებული აქვს, კომერციული მომხმარებლისთვის, კი სოკარი მოკლე ვადიან შეთანხმებებს იყენებს.
http://www.ipress.ge/new/14802-mahir-mamed...stvis-mzad-aris This post has been edited by anthropod on 11 Oct 2015, 01:43
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