დავასწრებ ქოცებს ამ
ლურჯი მძღნერისთვის სასიხარულო სტატიის დადებას.
მოკლედ, იუესინთელიჯენსმა, ყირიმამდე გზას ვერ გადაჭრისო.
U.S. intelligence says Ukraine will fail to meet offensive’s key goal — The Washington PostThe U.S. intelligence community assesses that Ukraine’s counteroffensive will fail to reach the key southeastern city of Melitopol, people familiar with the classified forecast told The Washington Post, a finding that, should it prove correct, would mean Kyiv won’t fulfill its principal objective of severing Russia’s land bridge to Crimea in this year’s push.
The grim assessment is based on Russia’s brutal proficiency in defending occupied territory through a phalanx of minefields and trenches, and is likely to prompt finger pointing inside Kyiv and Western capitals about why a counteroffensive that saw tens of billions of dollars of Western weapons and military equipment fell short of its goals.
Ukraine’s forces, which are pushing toward Melitopol from the town of Robotyne more than 50 miles away, will remain several miles outside of the city, U.S. officials said. U.S., Western and Ukrainian government officials interviewed for this report spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive military operations.
ეს არის საინტერესო. war games-ებიდან (რა ვი "სამხედრო თამაშები"?) გამომდინარე, ცხადი იყო რომ იქნებოდა მწარე დანაკარგები, მაგრამ დასავლეთს ეგონა, რომ უკრაინისთვის ეს მისაღები იქნებოდა, უკრაინამ კი ტაქტიკა შეცვალა და დიდ სისხლიან გარღვევებზე უარი თქვა:
...in the first week of fighting, Ukraine incurred major casualties against Russia's well-prepared defenses despite having a range of newly acquired Western equipment, including U.S. Bradley Fighting Vehicles, German-made Leopard 2 tanks and specialized mine-clearing vehicles.
Joint war games conducted by the U.S., British and Ukrainian militaries anticipated such losses but envisioned Kyiv accepting the casualties as the cost of piercing through Russia's main defensive line, said U.S. and Western officials.But Ukraine chose to stem the losses on the battlefield and switch to a tactic of relying on smaller units to push forward across different areas of the front. That resulted in Ukraine making incremental gains in different pockets over the summer.
მერე, რესპების ნაწილმა, თქვეჩემა 20 მილიარდი რაზე ჩავყაროთო კიდეო, მაგრამ ნაწილმა, თქვეჩემა, ჭუჭუს რატომ წელავთ და უფრო არ ეხმარებითო:
The path to Melitopol is an extremely challenging one, and even recapturing closer cities such as Tokmak will be difficult, said Rob Lee, a military analyst with the Foreign Policy Research Institute.
“Russia has three main defensive lines there and then fortified cities after that,” he said. “It’s not just a question about whether Ukraine can breach one or two of them, but can they breach all three and have enough forces available after taking attrition to achieve something more significant like taking Tokmak or something beyond that.”
The bleak outlook, briefed to some Republicans and Democrats on Capitol Hill, has already prompted a blame game inside closed-door meetings. Some Republicans are now balking at President Biden’s request for an additional $20.6 billion in Ukraine aid given the offensive’s modest results. Other Republicans and, to a lesser extent, hawkish Democrats have faulted the administration for not sending more powerful weapons to Ukraine sooner.ხო, ატაკამსები და ფ16-ები "არაფერს არ შეცვლიდაო" (ნუ, იასნია):
U.S. officials reject criticisms that F-16 fighter jets or longer-range missile systems such as ATACMS would have resulted in a different outcome. “The problem remains piercing Russia’s main defensive line, and there’s no evidence these systems would
მილიმ (ომამდე რეები როშა მოგეხსენებათ, სხვათა შორის, მაშინაც კონტექსტი იყო, შე ###ო, იარაღით რატომ არ დავეხმარეთ), აუ, მე ხომ განვაცხადე რომ ძალიან მურტალიაო:
“I had said a couple of months ago that this offensive was going to be long, it’s going to be bloody it’s going to be slow,” he told The Post. “And that’s exactly what it is: long, bloody and slow, and it’s a very, very difficult fight.”
მაგრამ მორდორს დედა ეტყვნებაო მაინცო, მილიმ:
While not achieving its objectives, he noted Kyiv’s success in degrading Russian forces. “The Russians are in pretty rough shape,” he said. “They’ve suffered a huge amount of casualties. Their morale is not great.”
პენტაგონმა უკრაინელებს რამდენჯერმე ურჩია ერთი მიმართულებით ძლიერი შეტევის განხორციელება. უკრაინამ არაო. პენტაგონმა, ნუ, ეგ კიევის გადასაწყვეტიაო, იასნია.
U.S. officials said the Pentagon recommended multiple times that Ukraine concentrate a large mass of forces on a single breakthrough point. Though Ukraine opted for a different strategy, officials said it was Kyiv’s call to make given the profound sacrifice Ukrainian troops were making on the battlefield.
"გამორიცხული არაა" რომ უკრაინა ზამთრისთვის არ გაჩერდება და გააგრძელებს შეტევას:
U.S. officials said Washington was still open to Kyiv surprising skeptics and overcoming the odds. One defense official said it is possible that Ukraine could buck historical norms and continue the counteroffensive through the winter, when everything including keeping soldiers warm and stocked with food and ammunition becomes much more difficult.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...sive-melitopol/ 
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რუსეთ - უკრაინის ომი vol 84, დიდება გმირებს
