gravitonშეეცადე აზრები კორექტულად ჩამოაყალიბო. არ გამოიყენო სიტყვები "სისულელე" და "ნიფხავი", და ყველაფერი კარგად იქნება. მასკს შენ მასკეს დაუძახებ თუ შმასკეს, ეგ არავის ადარდებს.
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მეორე სტატია ფუელ სელებზე. ფუელ სელები, როგორც იტყვიან, გადაკრასკეს და გადაყარეს
Toyota's 'Fool Cells' Won't Bother Tesla
http://seekingalpha.com/article/2727815-to...nt-bother-tesla» სპოილერის ნახვისთვის დააწკაპუნეთ აქ «
Summary
Next fall, Toyota will launch a hydrogen-powered car in Japan and California known as the Mirai.
With the Mirai, Toyota will bring the new technology in a highly-compromised package.
HFC is off to a bad start, but even if it were viable and impressive, Tesla and its ambitious approach to the electric car would likely be victorious.
Introduction
Over Thanksgiving weekend, I read an insightful article by Anton Wahlman, who was one of the journalists to test drive Toyota's (NYSE:TM) Mirai, the company's hydrogen fuel cell (HFC)-powered car that is expected to hit Japan and California next fall. Much like Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) first EV, the Roadster, Toyota's Mirai will start off as a low-volume vehicle. However, unlike the Roadster, which was a desirable sports car, the Mirai has essentially no enticing properties for an owner to be excited about.
To start, it will cost $50 to drive 300 miles, which is roughly twice the cost of driving a 30mpg-rated car with today's national average of gasoline at less than $3; of course, this is infinitely more expensive than charging a Tesla at a supercharging station. Even if Toyota eats this cost for the first three years, the long-term outlook for HFC cars appears bleak. Tesla's ambitious approach to EVs and the car industry as a whole appears to be safe from HFC, no matter how capable fuel cells may be.
The Mirai, Translating To "Future"
Next fall, Toyota will aim to sell 1,000 Mirai HFC vehicles in Japan and California for $58,395 on a lease of $499 per month on top of a $3,649 down payment. A new technology under Toyota's strong brand name will easily allow the company to meet this target, however, I'm not convinced the Mirai sets an example in making hydrogen-powered cars enticing for drivers to own.
Anton, who personally tested the Mirai, covered the car in extensive detail so I would recommend checking out the above-linked article. In fact, I would say his article stands to be the most informative in comparison to the other multiple reviews I read.
The point about the Mirai that staggers me is that aside from a comfortable ride, which is expected of a $60k vehicle, and the idea that the car runs on a new fuel technology that dispenses water as a byproduct, the new car has ultimately no alluring aspects. The Mirai is a vehicle of compromise. Appearance, performance, practicality, convenience and costs are all compromised factors to make the car possible. The technology isn't exactly a groundbreaking leap forward, and asking customers to compromise on such a magnitude is a bad start.
Surely, infrastructure could be added and costs could be reduced through mass adoption. However, hydrogen is unlikely to be the future of automobiles, at least on a mass scale.
Elon Musk Still Insists That Fuel Cells Are "Fool Cells"
Over the years, Elon Musk has noted that, at Tesla, they refer to fuels cells as "fool cells." In a 2008 PBS interview (transcript here), Musk confidently stated that hydrogen fuel cells will "never, ever, ever, ever be a mainstay." Even when considering that fuel cells could be powered from clean energy sources such as solar, he said the following:
Okay, so you could do all those things. But it's a tiny fraction as efficient to do that as it is to use those same solar panels just directly to charge a battery pack, as opposed to using the solar panels to split water, then take hydrogen, oxygen, separate them, compress the hydrogen into either a very high pressure gas or liquid, and then put that into a car and then run a fuel cell process and then generate electricity. It's incredibly inefficient to do that. You'll always win by taking that same electrical source and just directly charging a battery. Always, guaranteed. This is a fact of physics.
As Musk stated, the multistage process of HFC can't compete with batteries. While there may be an abundance of hydrogen available in the universe, the simple element isn't naturally occurring on Earth, which means it must be extracted from compounds such as water. This involves a large amount of energy through multiple stages that could indeed be done through clean energy sources like solar, but in the end, every car on the road must possess its own bulky multistage process to convert fuel into electricity and finally power an electric motor.
This problem is similar to the ICE conundrum, because the ICE approach also requires every individual car to be fitted with a multistage process that could be done in a much more efficient manner, from, say, a giant power plant.
Tesla's Strategy Is More Capable Than Toyota's
Since I am just a normal human being writing about the future of transportation, I would like to take a step back. Let's assume Elon's influential statements that discard HFC technology have blinded me from seeing otherwise. If we also assume that the future of the automobile will be either HFC or BEV, which solution will be victorious?
It is likely that victory will come to the car manufacturer that viably produces a superior vehicle. And, in the case of Tesla versus Toyota, the former is winning by a very long shot. This is because Tesla, unlike Toyota, is producing a car that is actually superior to an ICE automobile in terms of environmental friendliness, practicality, performance and safety. If Tesla continues to produce vehicles that are better, it is going to win against Toyota, as it invests in HFC cars in a highly compromised package.
The dominant and captivating approach from Tesla lets its customers sincerely perceive their cars as superior, rather than just environmentally friendly. With the low-volume, high-cost Roadster, Tesla captivated a willing audience by producing a capable, exotic-looking sports car that just so happened to be electric. With the Model S, Tesla inspired a want within customers by offering a high-safety, attractive-looking, practical 7-seater sedan that has the optional ability of accelerating faster than a BMW M-series.
If it weren't for Tesla's ambitious and effective strategies, it is likely the topic of EVs wouldn't be up for discussion. People would imagine EVs as highly compromised cars, such as the Nissan (OTCPK:NSANY) LEAF with a 90-mile driving range. This is contrary to what people want in a car. Personally, I don't want a Nissan LEAF and I don't want a Toyota Mirai, but I do want a Tesla Model S. As Tesla continues to bring monumental advancements like autonomous driving to future iterations such as the Model X and 3, it will win, even if HFC technology ended up being the more economical solution.
Conclusion
Even if Toyota's powerful brand name captivates a small audience with its HFC technology, it is unlikely to revolutionize the industry if it resorts to providing its customers highly compromised vehicles. The Toyota Prius was successful because the doubled fuel economy only compromised looks and performance. However, with HFC, Toyota is asking its customers to sacrifice money, convenience, practicality and more. I do not believe this is the route to creating a successful automobile. And it is going to take a lot more than that to go against a company that makes EVs, which effectively compete with luxury ICE vehicles.
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სპეისექსი კარგ ფერმერს ეძებს, თუ გეგულებათ ვინმე, სივი აქ გააგზავნეთ
http://www.spacex.com/careers/position/5749
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