ამას ძილი ხომ არ აყვა დილიდან ბლიად?
Calcio Debate: Juve Lost Scudetto Against Small Teams?
Juventus’ win over Milan on Saturday night was the latest in a line of impressive results against the Serie A big boys. Carlo Garganese believes that a key reason why the Bianconeri have not offered a Scudetto challenge has been due to their poor form against the smaller squads…
“The Scudetto is won against the small teams,” said Francesco Totti after Roma defeated Parma way back in week seven.
“When we won Serie A in 2001 we lost to Milan and Inter, and drew with Juventus, however we beat all the small teams so we ended the season as champions.”
Totti is far from being the brightest human being that God ever created, however he certainly had a valid point here.
In direct confrontations between the so-called ‘Big Four’ (Inter, Milan, Juve and Roma) Juventus have easily the best record, and in fact are unbeaten. They defeated Milan at home, and drew away, did the same to Roma, while they picked up a point in Turin against Inter, before famously winning at San Siro.
Roma and Inter have both picked up four points less than Juventus in their meetings with the big four (the former do still have Milan to play), yet the Serie A table shows us that the Bianconeri are 10 and 14 points behind both of these teams respectively.
The reason for this is simple – Juve have just not performed against the provincial sides fighting against relegation.
Claudio Ranieri’s men have dropped 13 points against those in the bottom eight positions, picking up 26 out of a possible 39 points. Inter meanwhile have relinquished just two points, racking up a stunning 34 from 36, with their only slip-up surprisingly coming in a 2-2 draw with bottom-of-the-table Livorno in round four. Roma, like Juve, have also struggled against those in relegation waters, having accumulated six points less than Inter, despite playing one game more.
Thus you have a key reason why Inter will probably end the season as champions. Their record against the top clubs is nowhere near perfect, but they simply have not dropped any points against teams that they have been expected to beat.
In the past this has been Juventus’ speciality, particularly when Fabio Capello was in charge. A squad not blessed with the greatest technical qualities, and who would occasionally struggle against more skilful opposition, but a machine that would overpower and steamroll those smaller and weaker than them. It is for this reason that many describe Inter as the “new Juve”.
Of course there have been other factors in why Juventus have not really challenged for the Scudetto. The first year back in Serie A after Calciopoli was always going to be tough, the disastrous transfer policy of Alessio Secco (despite his claims today that it was “impeccable”) actually weakened rather than strengthened Juve, while the referees most certainly robbed the club of at least six points in the games against Napoli, Parma and Reggina.
Nevertheless statistics are important in football, and any numerical analysis of the Serie A season will show that Juve lost their chances of the Scudetto due to their shortcomings against the small teams.
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ტურინის იუვენტუსის ფანკლუბი.FORZA JUVE!, ბებერი ქალბატონის ფანებო აქეთ! VOL 12
