გერმანელების დედის #####ი #####ან კიდევ ერთხელ. ეს ამბავი რომ გადაგორდება ეგენი უნდა იყვნენ განხილულები ვაშინგტონში როგორც რუსები ისე, მოღალატე დედა#####ულები. ამდენი დეკადაა ხო ერთი ევრო არ დაუხარჯავთ საკუთარ უსაფრთხოებაზე და უნდა მოუხსნას ვაშინგტონმა ყველანაირი დაცვის მექანიზმი, დატოვონ მარტო. აუცილებლად უნდა დადგეს ამათი ნატოდან გაჯმევინების საკითხი. ესენი, იტალიელები და ფრანგები კინწისკვრით უნდა გააგდონ ნატოდან.
ძაან საინტერესო სრედი დაწერა ევროპის ### ერზე
https://twitter.com/marceldirsus/status/1485199504668303366დაგიკოპირებთ
Now that there's a spotlight on Germany's "interesting" Russia policy, a lot of people have asked me why on earth Germany behaves the way it does. In short: Different perception of the way the world works, history, economic self-interest, public opinion, party politics.
Some of Berlin's behaviour has nothing to do with Russia or Ukraine specifically. One good example of this is many Germans' inability to accept that military power matters in international politics. Seen from Lower Saxony or Bavaria, force is not just evil, it's also useless.
Since military force can't solve any problems, there's no upside to delivering arms to "conflict zones" like Ukraine where they would simply make everything worse. This thinking is not even about preserving national interests, it's just how many Germans see the world.
Analysts who think Germany's behaviour is all about the deliberate pursuit of its national interest at the expense of allies miss that a lot of Germans genuinely think their position is morally superior.
History matters. There's an obligation in the minds of many Germans not to go too hard on Russia because Germans killed millions of Russians during WWII. That same way of thinking doesn't extend to Ukraine even though Germans also killed millions of Ukrainians. It just doesn't.
When ordinary Germans consider delivering arms to Ukraine they don't think "this is an opportunity to help Ukrainians defend themselves," they think "we will help to kill Russians and that will make everything worse."
Moral superiority aside, nothing is more important to Germany than the pursuit of short-term economic interests. If you can trade freely with everyone and afford not to worry about security or other political considerations, why wouldn't you? That's what Germany is doing
Germany, of course, can afford to prioritise economic interests precisely it is so secure. Ukrainians or Georgians or Estonians might get invaded but even if NATO didn't exist, the Russians probably wouldn't take back Berlin anytime soon.
If you discuss the military in Germany with people, they often say: "Well, who is going to invade us?" That misses the broader point but it's not exactly irrational either. Nobody is going to attack Germany, at least not before attacking another dozen countries.
That brings us to public opinion. If you feel as safe as Germans and you think military force is not just evil but also useless, why would you support a more muscular foreign policy? Well, most Germans don't. Politicians know that and that makes them reluctant to change course
Last but not least, party politics are a significant constraint. If you get elected leader of the Greens, Social Democrats or Christian Democrats tomorrow, you don't just have to worry about public opinion, you also have to worry about the rank and file.
And what does the rank and file worry about? That's right: Antagonising Russia and German "militarism." It doesn't even matter what party you lead, you will get angry calls if you call out Russia.
Elite capture is a serious concern but I think analysts who point to it as the main factor influencing Germany's policy underestimate the impact of everything else I've listed above.
I've seen some people argue that this is all due to Germans' DNA and genetic predisposition for aggression or wanting strong leadership. It shouldn't really need saying but that's obviously rubbish.
Anyway, this is a complicated topic and Twitter is obviously not the place for nuance so everything in this thread is an oversimplification but I hope it might be useful or interesting for some of you.
დედის ტყვნა კიდევ ერთხელ გერმანიას ! ცეცხლის ალში გვენახოს და მეორე მსოფლიო ომზე უარესი დამართნოდეთ !
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